Monday, December 29, 2008

How to Maximize Profits and Minimize Losses


What Is A Forex Pip?


First thing first. What exactly is a pip? Pip stands for "percentage in point" and is the smallest price increment in forex trading. Since most major currency pairs (the Japanese Yen being an exception), are priced to 4 decimal places, the smallest change would be reflected in the last decimal point.
In basic terms, the Forex pip is the way you measure your gains and losses when trading currency. Let's look at an example to get a deeper understanding of this. A currency pair of EUR/USD might be bid at 1.1815 and later offered at 1.1820. This is a spread of 5 pips. So, if you bought a certain number of Euros at the bid price, and then later sold them for the offered price, your profit would be 5 pips. (Obviously. the amount of money that you make is dictated by how much currency you bought and sold for profit.)

What The Forex Pip Means To You

Successful Forex trading occurs when you maximize your pips when you trade as much as possible. Thinking long term and logically, to be successful you need to have more pip gains than pip losses in your trading. Let's be honest, it is impossible to win every time. When everything is said and done, what you want is more pip gains than losses.

How To Maximize Pips and Minimize Losses

The perfect scenario is to buy currency
at its lowest value, and then sell it once it has reached its highest value before dropping. This is a lot easier said than done. There are numerous and varied factors that determine the rise or fall of currency values. So, what can you do?
Many Forex Traders are turning to Automatic Forex Robots to do the trading for them. This is a great way to maximize pips, while keeping the risk in check. These computer programs or scripts stay current with what is going on in the Forex market and trade according to predetermined indicators set in the program by professionals. So, instead of trying to figure out everything for yourself and being glued to your computer 24 hours a day, from Monday to Friday, you let the automated Forex software do the trading for you.


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Thursday, December 4, 2008

Fundamental Analysis and Financial Statements


Forex fundamental analysis involves examining the intrinsic value of a nationʼs currency based on economic news releases that reflect the strength, or weakness, of a countryʼs economy.
Fundamental traders follow these news announcements, known as "fundamental indicators," because they paint a picture of a currency's strength in relation to other countries.
Fundamental indicators are reports that include statistical data on things such as employment, gross domestic product (GDP), international trade, retail sales, housing, manufacturing, and interest rates.

The stability, growth, or decline in any of these sectors may have an effect – direct or indirect – on the value of a countryʼs currency.
Central banks play a key role in the Forex market because they have the responsibility of changing the countryʼs "base" interest rate. A central bank has to find a fine balance when setting interest rates as it wants to maintain growth in the economy, but at the same time it has to be careful to curtail inflation.
The bankʼs decisions on whether to raise, cut, or hold the interest rate fuels speculation in the Forex market, where the value of a currency, or group of currencies, changes in real time.
In addition to information about a country’s
economy, the value of a currency is connected to national and international political events, elections, and changes in government trade policies.
The prices of sensitive commodities like oil and gasoline are an important fundamental indicator as high prices can hurt consumer spending and confidence, and curtail the activities of certain businesses and government services.

Natural disasters, terrorist attacks, and militarily actions in a sensitive region cause instability in the world and have a significant impact on the Forex market as they develop. These types of evens can be hard to predict in advance.
The ability to identify trends in macroeconomic indicators and reading central bankʼs current and future actions is a valuable tool that comes from following financial news, watching the markets, and trading Forex.

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Predicting Future Forex Trends For Profits

Fundamental analysis can be defined as the macro or strategic assessment of where a currency should be trading based on the movement of the currency's price itself.This is often highly dependent on the economic condition of the country of that currency, monetary policy, and other "fundamental" elements.
The analysis is performed on historical and present data, but the objective is to predict the future trend.

Economy condition reflects how the country is attractive for foreign investments and capital inflow. In general it can be said that the better the macro economic indicators – the stronger the domestic currency is.
According to Fundamental analysis, the markets may misprice in the short run but the "correct" price will eventually be reached. Profits can be made by trading the mispriced and then wait for the market to recognize its "mistake" and reprice the security.
Traders may use fundamental analysis within different portfolio management styles. Buy and hold traders find out 'good' buys from the past trend which can lower their risk and probability of wipe-out. In fundamental analysis you make your own decision rather than going by the apparent movement of the market.

Analyzing Economics and Macro Forex Factors
With fundamental analysis, one can find out if the prices in the market are undervalued, overvalued, or working in a fair value by applying the concept of intrinsic value as the market price tends to move towards its intrinsic value. If the intrinsic value is above the current market price, the investor would purchase the currency and if it is below, the investor would sell it from the portfolio or take a short position.
A top-down trader starts the analysis with global economics, including both international and national economic indicators, such as GDP growth rates, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, productivity, and energy prices. The bottom-up investor starts with specific currency pair, regardless of their current position.
So we come to the conclusion that as a trader in Fundamental analysis market one would require to take help of Fundamental analysis along with Technical Analysis methods to maximize the gain by correctly recognizing the market trends.

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Forex Fundamental Analysis

There are two major methods of analysis used in forecasting the behavior of the Forex market; they are Technical analysis and Fundamental analysis.
They differ greatly but the trader can apply both to complement and supplement the study of the market for achieving superior results.
They also have the same goal i.e. to predict a price or movement of the market. The technical analysis studies the effect while the fundamental analysis studies the cause of market movement.

Fundamental Analysis has a very broad spectrum. One aspect looks at the general or qualitative factors; the other side considers tangible and measurable i.e. the quantitative factors.
Use Fundamental Analysis With Technical Analysis
In general the fundamental analysis method looks to forecast the future of price movements based on events that have not taken place yet. Important factors and statistical methods are used to predict how these events will affect supply and demand and the rates of the Forex.
We must remember that Fundamental analysis and Technical analysis are not the reliable factor on their own, but each needs to be used in conjunction with the other to form opinion about the changes in the Forex market.

Fundamental analysis is therefore the method of forecasting the future price movements based on economic, political, environmental and other relevant factors and statistics that are going to affect the basic supply and demand of the market.
A fundamental analysis involves in-depth study of the market. It focuses on what is going to happen in a market based on supply and demand, seasonal cycles, and weather and government policy.



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